Mavericks vs Lakers Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight - NBA (2024)

On a stacked Wednesday NBA slate, Mavericks vs. Lakers is the must-see game of the night. The Lakers have won three straight while the Mavs are slipping dropping two in a row. Our NBA betting picks expect home court to hold serve tonight.

Mavericks vs Lakers Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight - NBA (1)

Kenny Ducey

Nov 22, 2023 • 18:47 ET • 4 min read

The Mavericks are going backward after a hot start to the season, dropping three of their last four as they head off to a mini two-game road trip on the West Coast.

That will begin with a tough test against the red-hot Lakers, who have now won six of seven and shored things up on the defensive end. Will L.A. succumb to fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back, or does it have enough firepower to win this heavily-anticipated matchup?

Let's break down the NBA odds and dive right into it with our free NBA picks and predictions for Mavericks vs. Lakers on Wednesday, November 22.

Mavericks vs Lakers odds

Mavericks vs Lakers predictions

I wrote yesterday when discussing the Los Angeles Lakers that it should just be a matter of days before they’ve risen into the Top 10 in defensive efficiency with the recent progress they’ve made on that end, and lo and behold they enter play on Wednesday ranked 10th in the NBA when it comes to points allowed per 100 possessions.

On Tuesday, L.A. suffocated a Jazz team that’s thrived beyond the arc and posted their second-best defensive output of the season from an efficiency standpoint. The pace of that game was brought up a bit high for their liking, given they run more halfcourt sets per 100 plays than almost anyone, and that should be proof enough that they can take care of a Dallas Mavericks team that also likes to play up-tempo basketball.

Dallas is a dream matchup here for the Lakers given their inability to defend inside. The Mavs dead last with a 73.8% field goal percentage allowed at the rim according to Cleaning the Glass which should put them in a compromised position against a team that does almost all of its work on the offensive end in and around the restricted area.

Sure, the Mavericks technically have an edge of their own given they love to shoot the three and will run into a Lakers team ranked in the middle of the pack in defending the three-ball, but they’ve made some significant strides in bringing that number back down to the levels we’ve seen in the past couple of years and just won a strikingly similar matchup a night ago with ease.

The Lakers are a better team than the Mavericks with the arrow pointing up, and I think that should deliver them the win on the second night of a back-to-back. L.A. was able to get its players enough rest on Tuesday given the nature of the win, and I don’t have fears backing it here.

My best bet:Lakers ML (+120 at DraftKings)

Mavericks vs Lakers same-game parlay

Lakers moneyline

Anthony Davis Over 24.5 points

Dereck Lively Over 15.5 points

+625 at DraftKings

We’ll continue to ride the Anthony Davis train here on Wednesday. As I mentioned above, the Mavericks rank dead last when it comes to field goal defense inside of four feet and they’re also third-worst when defending in the short midrange according to Cleaning the Glass.

Davis should absolutely eat in this matchup, and after scoring 27 points in just 29 minutes on Tuesday the big man has now hit 25 or more points in eight of his 14 games this year.

I do think that the Mavericks will unleash Dereck Lively II in this game. He saw 29 minutes last time out against the Kings, who have a dominant offensive big in Domantas Sabonis, and while he did only score six points there I’d also like to point out that the Lakers, for all the size they have, haven’t been the best at defending at the rim this year. I expect another heavy dose of minutes for a Mavericks team that lacks size, and the Lakers are in the bottom half of the league in rebounding.

Whether it’s in the scoring column or the rebounding column – where Lively has recorded nine or more boards in his last four – we should see the rookie make an impact here.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Mavericks vs Lakers spread and Over/Under analysis

I really wish that oddsmakers learned their lesson from Tuesday’s game. The total was set quite high at 238.5 points and the Under cashed with relative ease given the Lakers’ dominance on defense. While the Mavericks could threaten to increase the pace of this one, I still trust this L.A. defense more than these lines would indicate.

The Lakers have been one of the best defenses in basketball over the last week or so, and the market simply hasn’t caught up. We should see the Mavericks struggle a bit to score, particularly with some injuries mounting, and on the other side of the floor we should see plenty of slow-developing halfcourt sets for L.A. leading to interior points.

So, I lean firmly towards the Under here. It’s worth noting that, once again, more money (98%) than bets (61%) have come in on the Over 241 points, signaling some big action on that bet. Currently, 52% of the bets and 57% at DraftKings are on the Lakers to cover.

Mavericks vs Lakers betting trend to know

The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+18.25 Units / 12% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Lakers.

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Mavericks vs Lakers game info Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date:Wednesday, November 22, 2023
Tip-off:10:30 p.m. ET
TV:Bally Sports Southwest-Dallas, Spectrum SportsNet

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Mavericks vs Lakers Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight - NBA (2024)


What is the over under prediction for the Lakers Mavs game? ›

Lakers vs. Mavericks over/under: 243.5 points. Lakers money line: Los Angeles -172, Dallas +144. LAL: The Lakers have hit the game total Under in 31 of their last 46 games at home.

Who is better, the Lakers or the Mavericks? ›

2023-24 Team Comparison - Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks
LA Lakers4727-25
NBA Standings »

What is the Warriors Mavericks over under prediction? ›

Dallas is 44-32 against the spread in the 2023-24 NBA season, while Golden State is 41-33-2 versus the line. Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavs are favored by 5 points in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds, per SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 225.5 points.

What are the Lakers winning chances? ›

2023-24 NBA Championship Odds
Odds to Win
10 more rows

What does the Lakers +5.5 mean? ›

+5.5. With the Lakers at -5.5, that means they are favored by 5.5 points, while the Kings are 5.5-point underdogs. If you decided to bet on Los Angeles to cover the betting spread, you would need the Lakers to win by more than 5.5 points for a winning bet.

What does Dallas Mavericks spread mean? ›

Mavericks Spread

Spread bets are bets on the "spread" of the game -- in other words, the expected margin of victory of the favorite. Let's look at an example: Dallas Mavericks (-4.5)

Who is Dallas Mavericks best player? ›

The 25-year-old superstar has put his team in prime position to return to the NBA Finals for the first time in 13 seasons.

Who is the best player to ever play on the Mavericks? ›

Dirk Nowitzki, who played his entire NBA career with the Mavericks starting in 1998, is the franchise's longest-serving player. He played more games, played more minutes, scored more points, and recorded more rebounds than any other Maverick.

Have the Dallas Mavericks ever won the NBA? ›

The 2011 Dallas Mavericks are the champions of the basketball world. After the team defeated Lebron James and the star-studded Miami Heat in 6 games. This marks the first Championship Ring in the history of the Dallas Mavericks. Altogether, avenging a 6 game NBA Finals defeat to the same Miami Heat team from 2006.

What year did the Warriors beat the Mavs? ›

2007 NBA Western Conference First Round.

Is Lakers a good basketball team? ›

The Lakers are one of the most successful teams in the history of the NBA, with 17 NBA championships, tied with the Boston Celtics for the most in NBA history. The Lakers were the champions of the NBA's inaugural In-Season Tournament in 2023.

What is the Lakers biggest win? ›

On March 19, 1972, however, the team would set another record. The Lakers defeated the Golden State Warriors, 162-99, setting a record for largest margin of victory in an NBA game.

Who is favored to win the Nuggets Lakers series? ›

The Nuggets are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Lakers vs. Nuggets odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 217. Before making any Nuggets vs. Lakers picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

What is the over under prediction for Mavericks vs Wizards? ›

Mavericks vs. Wizards spread: Mavericks -13.5. Mavericks vs. Wizards over/under: 247.5 points.

What's the over under for the Lakers and Golden State? ›

The over/under for total points is 235.5. Before making any Lakers vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

What is the over under on the Lakers Clippers game? ›

Lakers vs. Clippers over/under: 234.5 points. Lakers vs. Clippers money line: Clippers -147, Lakers +124.

What is the over and under for the Lakers and Pelicans? ›

Lakers vs. Pelicans over/under: 224.5 points. Lakers vs.

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