Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets Game 1 odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (33-22) and New York Mets (22-30) meet for a Tuesday twin bill to open a 3-game series. The opening game’s first pitch from Citi Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Metsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

Los Angeles has lost 5 in a row and is just 7-9 since going 14-2 April 21-May 8. Over their last 16 games, the Dodgers have logged a pedestrian .635 OPS.

The Mets likely did not appreciate Monday’s Citi Field rain-out. They had won Sunday (4-3 over the San Francisco Giants), snapping a 5-game skid.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Glasnow (6-3, 3.09 ERA) makes his 12th start. He owns a 0.91 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 67 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-0 home setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
• 2024 vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 7 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 10-0 home win April 21
• Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 3.75 ERA (36 IP, 15 ER), 29 H, 11 BB, 38 K in 5 starts and 3 relief appearances
• Has authored a 1.44 ERA, 0.68 on the road; owns a 3.03 road ERA since 2022

Megill (0-2, 3.00 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 9 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-1 loss at Cleveland Guardians May 20
• Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER), 13 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 2 starts, including 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last season
• Owns a 4.66 ERA across 272 1/3 career IP
• Making his 2nd start since returning from IL (right shoulder strain)

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Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Dodgers -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Mets +176 (bet $100 to win $176)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-126) | Mets +1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS: Look to leverage the underdog Mets on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers have played a weak schedule so far, and that fits somewhat into the win-loss record of its opponents but more so into the batting and pitching breakdowns of those clubs. That overcolors L.A.’s run-scoring and run-prevention numbers. The Dodger bullpen has been especially fortunate in working through the lessened traffic of a .241 batting average on balls in play.

The pitching matchup clearly favors the Dodgers, but Megill pitched better in his IL return than what showed in his surface line.

Figure on a good enough chance of a Mets win or on the home nine staying close with the L.A. bats scuffling.

TAKE NEW YORK +1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The Under has cashed in 5 of the Dodgers’ last 6 games at Citi Field.

There are crisscrossing signals in the analysis of this one. With the Dodgers struggling on offense, there is perhaps just a sliver of a lean toward the UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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